Showing posts with label New Visitor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New Visitor. Show all posts

Trading For A Living – A Practical idea?

Whether trading can be done for living, has always attracted the interest of active traders and people in general. I firmly believe that trading can be done for living provided certain conditions are fulfilled. Below are some of the factors that play a significant part in deciding whether a trader achieves success in his goal of making a living from trading the markets.

1)Experience – As trading is all about probabilities and trading psychology, more the experience better are the chances of success in earning a living out of trading. One should have sufficient experience (years not days), that too should come out of operating in different market cycles (bull and bear markets). If you start to trade for a living from day one, you will fail badly. This point is basically about finding a system and being at ease with it.

2)Capital Requirement – Returns from markets are variable, but let’s take a return of  10-15 percent CAGR for a conservative estimate (some traders will laugh at this number, Larry Williams made 11,376% return in World Cup Championship of Futures Trading!).Your living expenses should be less than 10-15 % return on your capital. As living needs are different for different people, you need to do your own math to find the amount of capital required, before you take a step towards making trading, the only source of income for yourself. This point is all about money management and setting realistic expectations from the markets.

3)Psychological Challenges – Apart from dealing with the madness in the markets, an individual trader has to face psychological pressure from the family and the society as well. Trading is considered synonymous with gambling by a large section of “non trading group”. They will surely ask very difficult questions once a new trader takes up trading as a carrier. Other thing that adds up to the psychological pressure is debt. Make sure you don’t have any outstanding loans, it should be paid off  before you start trading your own account. In short, try to minimize the noise and distraction to achieve a focused approach towards your goal.

Odds for achieving success in trading become quite favorable if above conditions are met however experienced traders can work in very demanding conditions as well (Larry Williams made that kind of return in 1987 when many traders went bust). Trading is like a business, just as millions of people are running their businesses successfully, you too can be successful. Quite a lot of businesses fail, you too can fail in trading. Understanding and managing the risk is all you need. Finding your own space in the trading arena is very important, and that takes a lot of time and effort. The sooner we realize this, easier and less stressful, will be our journey towards our goal.

Life (as well a trading) is all about probabilities, when certain things align in certain ways, things tend to look simple. We find an effortless way around things that once seemed complicated, demanding and impossible. Trading for a living is much harder than people assume.

Good luck.


Related Post
Reposting the Holy Grail Post in text format


Neglected Essential : Simple Money Management Rules For Online Stock Trading

I have been posting Stop And Reverse (SAR) levels for some time now, its performance has been satisfactory. Recently I reviewed the performance with bank nifty as example. Since we had budget presented in this review period, the returns were impressive. Now as we have entered sideways market conditions for the past few days, we are getting whipsaws in trading, resulting in losses. One such loss was experienced today in trading nifty. So how to deal with such situations and minimize the loss?


The answer to the above question and for overall "good trading discipline" lies in sound money management practices. Money management is perhaps the most neglected idea in trading, psychology is another aspect often ignored by traders. Some people have written very complicated books on money management and related aspects using all sorts of mathematical ratios. But I am going to present it in a simple way (that's what this blog is all about,"the made easy" stuff right?). It will ensure that you keep your trading volumes in check, thus giving you enough liquidity and peace of mind in tense situations.

So here is what you need to do:
1) First find out how much is your trading capital? Let me take 1,00,000 (one lakh) as trading capital in this example.
2) Divide this amount by 2, that comes to 50,000
3) Keep 2 lots (of 50,000 each ) one for UP trending stock/index and other for DOWN trending stock/index
4) Now divide 50,000 into two, that comes to 25,000 worth two lots.
5) One of these lots (worth 25,000) is for breakout trade (breach of SAR in intraday trading) and other is for a pull back trade (when the price comes close to "low risk entry" in intraday trading )


That's all about it, money management in trading can't be simpler than this. Now let me list some advantages and disadvantages of this plan.

Advantages :

1)The Plan keeps you in both bullish and bearish trending stocks...so you are automatically hedged.
2)You are diversified, as you will have positions in two different stocks/index
3)You enter into two positions, one at breakout and other at first pullback therefore a lot of confusion in the mind is resolved.
4)You average down your  winning trade and not your losing trade (as long as SAR is not breached you assume that you are in a winning trade). Check this how I suffered badly by averaging my losing trade. You should never average a loss making trade.

Disadvantages :

1) Psychologically it's a bit tough. Why? because you have to be long in one trade and short in another, many new traders are not comfortable with the idea of shorting.
2) What will you do if all stocks are going up and you cannot find a single stock to short and vice versa? In that case you let the other half (50,000 for short) lay idle in cash and wait for one of the short trade to appear (you will surely find it in couple of days)
3) Too much capital is required to follow this plan, it may not be not easy for new trader initially. In that case you should follow half the strategy, that is, enter your trade in two tranches one at breakout other at pullback

Above are some pros and cons of this plan. Clearly I can feel that advantages are more in this plan than disadvantages.

That's all about the plan for the time being. I feel it's quite good. I will make necessary changes as per your feedback and suggestions. Please share your experiences with money management practices and also try to highlight some more advantages and disadvantages of this simple plan.
I hope it will help a lot of traders. It is certainly going to help me :)

How do I calculate SAR ?

Hi,
A lot of people have asked in the daily "Trader's talk" post about how do I calculate the SAR.
But before I put down some details about it ,I would like to mention that this method may not be suitable for your trading style for example an intraday trader may find "SAR" too far and the calls will be of no use to her/him.While a Positional trader will find it too close to his entry point and fear a whipsaw( even if he has a time horizon of as less as 5-6 days).
This method has evolved keeping in mind the swing trading mindset (we try to enter during intraday pullbacks in the direction of trend and hold on to the position till the SAR gets triggered,we keep adding to our position every day on intraday pull back  and use the gap (up/down in our favor) to add or reduce position.


What is SAR?
SAR (stop and reverse) is a point/level at which it is believed that the trend which is currently in place changes to the opposite one.For swing trade SAR can be any level that is beyond the expected intraday noise(movement),yet it should not be too far from the recent price action(that will result in bad exits and you will end up giving back your accumulated profits)
there are no hard and fast rule for SAR and method changes as per market conditions (stock/index in trend or sideways movement)


Following are some ways how I calculate SAR
1) Recent price action (one,two, three day high/low )
2)Moving average (200 dma)
3)RSI recent peak and price at that point
4)ATR (average true range)


The system does not uses any trend line, pivots,and the use of indicators is minimal.All the importance is given to prices.I give more importance to selecting stock and trading them with this method.You should not stick to your favorite stock/index and be willing to change as per market conditions.


I think thats all about it,if you have questions related to above feel free to ask,but make your own rules and do your own research.that will help you in your long term success in the markets
Good luck


Related Post
How to use the market calls table 
Should you take all the SAR trades?
Opinion and Answers about SAR and Trading.
Two scenarios that can lead to a better performance of SAR trades.

Let's have some fun on a day which is not so funny!!!

Hi,
Today is 22 January 2010 things are quite calm in the markets though we came down a bit yesterday,but things we not so calm 2 years back.I am referring to 22 January 2008 the day the market fell and fell so sharply that trading was halted because of a down circuit
I am posting this link


http://www.moneycontrol.com/cnbc/videos/livevideo.php?prg=bazzar&dt=2008-01-22



which i want every body to see it today or over the weekend and review your trading decisions that you made pre/post/during that event.This weekend sit down and analyze how you have grown as a trader and what mistakes you made during that time, if you were trading and try not to repeat them in future.


If you were not a trader at that time then this becomes all the more important for you.It will make you prepare for the worst case scenario.One of the basis on which technical analysis is based is that history repeats itself,so do this exercise this weekend its worth the effort that will be required,you just have to watch the show(easier than analyzing the chart over the weekend)


Once you have watched the show.Please participate in the poll that I have added on the right hand side of the blog.I have casted my vote.I found the video to be "funny" and also "i hate business news channel (laughing at my self on how unaware I was....but I was not alone the "experts" were with me....dont forget to look at Satyam results which were flashing ) At that time I was extremely frustrated  and a worried man.Watching the video from time to time still sends shivers down my spine.


Some of the wall street wizards believe (and is true as well) that market is all about psychology.
You will see how Udyan/Sudarshan etc are reacting to the panic situation and how the so called experts can go terribly wrong in there analysis.I will watch it as well tomorrow again.Udayan says he will sell his house and buy stock that day(if i remember correctly),I hope he didn't do that,because I made a similar mistake and suffered.What happened after that we all know the market fell another 50 percent from that level some stocks 70- 80 percent.(check Suzlon and Unitech...large cap index stocks)


That makes me mention that you should never try to catch the falling knives.Always know where your stops are and how much volumes you should trade with.Don't ever lose your sleep over trading(on second thoughts its past 1:30 and I am still online....:))....) 


Time to sleep.Good night ,Happy and safe trading for everyone

How to use the market calls table


Hi,
From today I will be posting the market calls for the next trading day .As I have mentioned before, being a swing trader these are short term calls and they may not be suitable for your trading style. Please read the disclaimer before taking any decision on the strategies mentioned.

The most important thing in the table is the “SWING” column, it indicates the current swing direction and it is advised that we should trade in the direction of the swing

Next is "SAR" or the Stop and Reverse point , if the price touches that level, the current swing direction changes to the other direction (that will be reflected in the next post)

Then comes the column “Low risk entry ” this is the approximate level where the stock / index will retrace to during intraday trade,failing to reach this point during intraday trade means momentum is HIGH (in the direction of swing)

Then we have a “Target ” level ,which is simply a point that I expect the stock/index should reach if the trend is strong during intraday, failing to touch this level indicates a possible chance of reversal or LOSS of momentum (in the direction of swing)

That’s all about the table; I believe it’s very simple to understand. I would like to repeat that the most important column for a swing trader is “Swing” and “SAR” as long as that remains intact we can enter at any point (intraday over sold level)or book profits at any level(intraday overbought level) for long positions and opposite in case of short positions.But we should carry the position for the next day as suggested by 'swing' column provide SAR is not breached

For intraday trades you should trade in direction of the 'swing' and enter at "low risk entry"point with a possible target at the levels mentioned in the "target" column.You can modify this approach and trade as per your risk appetite or daily profit expectation but only in direction of  "Swing"

These levels and SAR work best in trending markets / stocks,ranging markets will give whipsaws.So try to avoid stock in consolidation phase or trade with less volume or use oscillators extremes to enter and exits out of trade.

Since SAR is a trailing stop,you will end up giving back some of your profits always.That is a basic disadvantage of trailing stop loss order.For best trading results you need to book profits near "target" and re-enter near "low risk entry" zone.Although I have given precise points as "SAR","low risk entry" and "target" you need to watch that zone and react as per prevailing market conditions.

Always wait for prices to become stable as the markets opens and put in your stops 10-15 minutes after market opens.Enter intraday trades as you see prices stalling,that skill will come from practice.

If you have a counter view to the current swing it is best to wait on the sidelines or trade with less volume with strict stop-loss for a short duration.

If you have any questions or comments feel free to ask
Good luck.


Related Post
Money Management Plan
Should you take all the SAR trades?

The Holy Grail of Trading: a roadmap to trading and investing

Hi all,
Well this is my first post regarding trading and this is my first blog as well.I have been trading / investing in Indian Stock Market for about three years. So speaking purely in terms of years I am quite new, but I have been trading, following the market daily and have put in tremendous amount of time on daily basis close to 10 hrs and sometimes even more.


Over the years my way of trading has changed immensely, I started with fundamental analysis then moved to pure technical analysis, but now I am using both fundamental and technical analysis in conjunction. However my short term analysis and trading decisions are based on technical approach.


Enough of information about me (that’s not important anyways) now let’s come  to the main topic “the holy grail”. No I am not going to tell about any magic indicator or any specific parameter to use or a time frame for consistent trade (Sorry to disappoint a few people who were expecting that but trust me what I am highlight here is better than indicators).Instead of that I am going to present a checklist of various experiences that you will have in your quest for becoming a consistent and a successful trader


The credit for highlighting these points goes to a person by the name “jaydaraniya” in icharts forum. I have just made the points in the form of a checklist so that readers can find it easy to assess  where they currently stand in their  development as a professional trader. I have added a few pointers here and there but tried to retain the content as it is.


You can download the Excel file from this link. 

How to use the checklist?
Six types of traders or we can say six board stages of development as a trader are mentioned. You need to find first where you actually are, once that is known you will know what challenges you will face in coming time, knowing that you are better prepared to face the obstacles. It will be like what a map is to a sailor. Once things become clear, you will enjoy your voyage around the trading world

I would like to say thanks to “jaydaraniya”, his article completely changed the way I approached trading and I am quite certain that it will have an immense impact on others who will follow the checklist and work towards the final goal of being a consistent trader / investor.

Good Luck.
************************************


Related Post
Holy grail in text format

Welcome to Finance and Trading made easy

This blog's primary objective is to help traders discover their own style of trading and become consistent in their performance.The blog will also provide information on finance, trading, commodity, loan, currency, insurance, mutual funds and tax related problems.

Most of the posts and updates will be regarding trading (online stock, index, commodity, currency). My trading methods are based on short term technical analysis. I prefer to participate in the market as a swing trader. The blog would highlight the current swing direction with specific entry and stop loss levels.

Please read the disclaimer before you make a financial decision based on any information presented here.

Feel free to write your comments and suggestions, I would love to address them as quickly as possible.Looking forward to a pleasant interaction with traders, from around the world!
Cheers :)