As I have been spending time these-days back-testing and scanning for setups. I would like to share some results which a SAR, Swing and positional trader might find useful :
1) Don't take the next 2-3 trades after the system gives a "big profit" trade.Implementing this idea will significantly increase your "average profit per trade".
2) Trade in stocks which are showing momentum like stocks with have given more than 80-100 percent return yearly or showing better relative performance or stocks at 52 week high. Opposite for short trades.
3) Trade a trend from only one particular direction i.e "buy only" or "short only". Preferably "buy only" in bull market and vice-versa.
If someone wants to make things more complicated or feels lazy about doing their own back testing, she/he can read Quantitative Strategies for Achieving Alpha, by Richard Tortoriello, the book is more oriented toward fundamentals than technicals of a stock :(
Good luck with your trading.
1) Don't take the next 2-3 trades after the system gives a "big profit" trade.Implementing this idea will significantly increase your "average profit per trade".
2) Trade in stocks which are showing momentum like stocks with have given more than 80-100 percent return yearly or showing better relative performance or stocks at 52 week high. Opposite for short trades.
3) Trade a trend from only one particular direction i.e "buy only" or "short only". Preferably "buy only" in bull market and vice-versa.
If someone wants to make things more complicated or feels lazy about doing their own back testing, she/he can read Quantitative Strategies for Achieving Alpha, by Richard Tortoriello, the book is more oriented toward fundamentals than technicals of a stock :(
Good luck with your trading.
Hi Anuj!
ReplyDeleteThanks for sharing the results of your research. I hope that we can exchange good mornings regularly now. :)
regards.
rm
@rm
ReplyDeleteHi, no one stopped you from saying good morning!
I visit this blog regularly.
I also tried to make sense of "Desi MO" during these days!
The snow hasn't melted during summers in your blog, how about a new picture to welcome summers/rainy season?
Aren't you going inviting "Dinesh bhai" this time to climb up the litchi tree, he seemed to miss your presence in "just nifty"!
@Anuj
ReplyDeleteMy mistake, I thought that you were on a leave from blog too.
Desi MO helps in keeping an eye over the broader markets and managing risk (in Shai's words.)
Snow is unlikely to melt till I get a camera. :))
Dinesh bhai is too busy counting money from his BN profits and timber trade and may not be able to devote much time to litchi climbing!
Good Morning Anuj!
ReplyDeleteGm AJ & RM :)
ReplyDeleteGood morning rm and vj!
ReplyDeleteHi Anuj,
ReplyDeleteHope this pause will shine your trades better :)
Since you are in backtest, i beleive your foremost agenda would be reducing whipsaws.. This link from Mr.Sudarshan's blog will help incase you have not read it before.. thanks to him..
whipsaws-in-trend-following-systems
RM,
Hi to you :)
Good Morning Anuj!
ReplyDeleteHi good morning rm
ReplyDeleteSo what are you trading these days, futures or options? What do you think, are we in a bull market or a bear market?
I trade futures intraday and sometimes buy options for carrying positions overnight.
ReplyDeleteThis is neither bear nor bull, just a dull market. :D
Thank you r m!
ReplyDeleteWhat kind of average Stop loss and target we get with intraday trades in Nifty, if we take a certain set of trades?
Most people generally talk about a 20 point Stop loss and 30 as target, how practical is this "talk"?
Hi Anuj,
ReplyDeleteI did a comment yesterday and wondering where is it? :)
blogger chokes now a days!!
will re-post it now..
I trade on vtrender2 taking advantage of their order analysis tools. However there is not much advantage in trading breakouts in Nifty. The failed breakouts far exceed the succesful breakouts, meaning that the trader will spend more on Stop Loss than the total earnings. BN is better that way, the breakouts generally give good yield.
ReplyDeleteHi Anuj,
ReplyDeleteHope this pause will shine your trades better :)
Since you are in backtest, i beleive your foremost agenda would be reducing whipsaws.. This link from Mr.Sudarshan's blog will help incase you have not read it before.. thanks to him..
whipsaws-in-trend-following-systems.html
RM,
Hi to you :)
Hi RM,
ReplyDelete:)
Hi assortZ
ReplyDeleteThat comment landed in my mail box but I could not respond because it was missing from the blog. :D
Hi assortZ
ReplyDeleteHow are you bro, after a really long time!
the message went to spam box! I wonder why? :(
I will read that post now, I must have read it before as I was regular visitor at Sudarshan's blog at that time.
Is the face red or orange? :))
r m don't wish to give an answer to my question, about a bear or bull market, may be the color of your avatar can help me resolve my confusion!
keep posting more stuff :)
// However there is not much advantage in trading breakouts in Nifty. The failed breakouts far exceed the succesful breakouts //
ReplyDelete100% agreed RM :)
But as anuj said in his point #1 and 3, we should try to get away from false signals.. but I know how hard it is to apply practically..
Anuj,
ReplyDeleteme good..hope you are also doing good!!
It seems blogger marked me “SPAM” due to long absent..
You always have a ? on my aggressive colour :).. let us come to a conclusion that it is reddish orange ..
RM is clever to cash-in consistently in either of the markets.. so, he doen’t bother to name it bull or bear mkt :)
Bye.. catch u later :)
@assortZ
ReplyDeleteI wish I was clever, maybe someday I'll be. :D
Good Morning Anuj!
ReplyDeleteGood morning r m!
ReplyDeleteAfter so many years I have experienced summers like this one.Every other day it rains. Sitting without a fan! Such luxury was not there in Delhi :)
Yes Anuj. I lived in Delhi for almost 26 years but can't survive there for even a couple of hours now. :D
ReplyDeleteGood morning Anuj :)
ReplyDelete@rm
ReplyDelete:)
@abhishek
Hi....good morning
Good Morning Anuj!
ReplyDeleteGood morning r m :)
ReplyDeletehi anuj,
ReplyDeleteit is interesting..can you provide link for downloading ebook ..
it seems to be good one for fundamental picking like the one written by william o neil...
on going through comments on amazon, wondering whether stock scanner as per parameters outlined in the book is possible in the indian context
keep exploring ...
Hi Sri Sri!
ReplyDeletehttp://ebookee.org/Quantitative-Strategies-for-Achieving-Alpha-McGraw-Hill-Finance-amp-Investing-_610456.html
Check out the above link, second download link should work.
Reliable financial data is a problem in India.I don't think it will work for Indian markets as a quality screener is not there. This is one of the reasons why I trade/invest on technicals.
But the book has some interesting data. If you find a good fundamental screener do let me know
Cheers
hi anuj
ReplyDeletethanks for the link
free scanner based on fundamental data is very rare...if i come across anything, sure will let you know.
best
Good Morning Anuj!
ReplyDeleteGood morning ANUJ !
ReplyDeleteGood morning r m and Abhishek
ReplyDeleteGood evening, Anuj!
ReplyDeleteFantastic post and contents.
FA is the best, when it comes from you and Sri.
Thanks.
Will come again in the next break.
Take care, bye!!
@mo h
ReplyDeleteThanks....
You are too generous with your words. I hardly know any FA!
Take care :)
Good Morning Anuj!
ReplyDeleteHi, good morning r m :)
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteGood morning r m "s" !
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ, happy weekend!
ReplyDeleteGood Morning r m....have a great weekend! :)
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteAre bhai, kuchh to post karo, comment karne ke liye bahut scroll karna padta hai. :))
Hi r m
ReplyDeleteSame applies to your blog, I am just learning from you!
Good morning :)
Ha Ha! You picked the right person to learn laziness from. :)
ReplyDelete@rm
ReplyDeletetrying to beat you in "scrolling competition", need active contribution from mo h and his new found love for poetry!
Hi,
ReplyDeleteGood morning Anuj.
Good Morning AJ! Thanks for providing the opportunity for morning exercise of pulling water from a deep well (equivalent in cyber world is scrolling to the bottom of a looooong page.)
ReplyDelete:))
@r m
ReplyDeleteGood morning! LOL
Hey RM, good morning bossman.
ReplyDeleteQ. Why do u think IBM PC was given Ctrl+End ?
A. To avoid pulling water from a deep (dehradun sealevel elevation deep) well only ... :D
Good Mornign, Anuj,
ReplyDeletehere is a poem on options [lifted from web] with credit to the writer ...
Twas third Friday Eve and all through the exchange,
Traders checked on time value and profitable range.
Those in the money were twinkling with glee
As they counted their gains (less applicable fee).
The cranky old pessimists, put buyers all,
Heaped derision on every debit long call.
And for those up the creek with nary a paddle,
Expiration was near for the short-sided straddle.
Many traders were left just scratching their head
For the theory looked good for the dub-naked spread,
But now those positions seemed not quite as funny
With one side or the other now deep in the money.
A cheerful lot they on the eve of the witch
When options and futures cause many a glitch
And while on the subject, forget not the dread
In Reg T and margin (for more, see “The Fed”).
Yet more of disclosures, important to note,
That even on Christmas your profits don’t float,
And those that you realize, remember the facts,
Are subject to federal and state income tax.
So many details to keep in relation
To timing of close to avoid expiration.
Advice at a premium that many will like:
Remember proximity of price to the strike.
So the OCC caveat rang loud in my ear:
In this season be happy and be of good cheer,
But remember, my friends, I cannot tell a lie,
When trading in options, some risks do apply.
© Michael C. Thomsett
ahhhh .... my share of good deed, to make RM use a little longer rope ...
ReplyDelete[pssst, ANUJ, dont remind him of the Ctrl+End]
:))
takecare guyz, bye!!!
@moh
ReplyDeleteWow! limericks being written on options too!
I have stolen it from here and posted on google doc, the credit has duly been given to original thief. :)
@moh
ReplyDeleteHere is my contribution to this collection of poems! I am wise enough to steal from those who expired long back (Charles Dicken's "Pickwick Papers") hence no fear of being sued. :))
Ode to an Expiring Frog
Can I view thee panting, lying
On thy stomach, without sighing;
Can I unmoved see thee dying
On a log
Expiring frog!
Say, have fiends in shape of boys,
With wild halloo, and brutal noise,
Hunted thee from marshy joys,
With a dog,
Expiring frog!
@r m and mo h
ReplyDeletelagey raho!
Good morning Anuj & friends:)
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteGood morning amruta, r m and all :)
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDelete@r m
ReplyDeleteHi,good morning.Do you trade in commodities? If yes then which one?
@AJ
ReplyDeleteArre nahin bhai, i lose enough money between 9 to 3.30, why extend the time? :)
Hi friends
ReplyDeleteEOD and Intraday data in amibroker format upto 30th June 2011 loaded on 4shared.com
thank you r m ...good night! :D
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteHi Anuj,Good morning :)
ReplyDeleteHi r m, amruta and all....good morning
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDelete@ Anuj Good morning !
ReplyDeleteHi r m and abhishek, Good morning!
ReplyDelete@abhishek
how is trading and life going?
@r m
No need to ask you....picture says it all! :D
Gm Aj :)
ReplyDeleteLooks like quote going paid... When r u coming back into action
@Vj
ReplyDeleteI don't know, I depended on Quote for much of my analysis...right now I am experiencing paralysis! :D
Apart from Yahoo, Google is there any alternative for online free charts?
ReplyDelete@ Anuj,
ReplyDeleteI am fine,for trading LONG in NIFTY @ 5527 & long AXIS @ 1293 :)
@ Anuj what aoout you ?
ReplyDelete@abhishek
ReplyDeleteYeah me too long Stop at 5610 Futures
AJ, Backtesting over?
ReplyDeleteYeah kind of, trading will also be over with this new chart problem :D
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteGood morning r m and all
ReplyDeleteGood Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteGood morning r m :)
ReplyDelete@ Anuj
ReplyDeleteGood morning:)
Good morning abhishek and all :)
ReplyDeleteGood Morning folks!
ReplyDelete@abhishek
ReplyDelete5610 stop on futures holds well! :D. How do you set your targets? Can you share some ideas?
@r m
Hi, good morning
@ Anuj
ReplyDeleteWaiiting to cross over 5740 OR 5580
Right on target abhishek! Congrats :)
ReplyDelete@ Anuj
ReplyDeleteGood eve
Thanks .
Good Morning AJ!
ReplyDeleteVery soon blogger will institute an award for the longest comment thread, and the winners are ...
:)
Hi,
ReplyDeleteNew post done!
I have withdrawn from the nominations for the award or the longest comment thread, looks like this guy will will the award finally!
http://osteoporous.blogspot.com/2011/01/snows.html
and the winner is ...